Dienstag, 31. Juli 2012

FB: Soon a Teenager!

I opened the shortposition just some minutes ago @ 22.30

I bought only the Put Options with In the Money Put with a 22.00 Strike (17 AUG)

Its a nice wedge down!

Entry Price is 1.05




Montag, 30. Juli 2012

SBUX: looks bullish

Starbucks stock was trading higher in the end of last Friday (27.07)

It seems to be a bullish indicator for a full recovery..

Lets take these Shares and some Calls!


BAC: Lets lift the price from 7.30 to 7.47


My Pivot at 7.287 is BAC`s new retracement and it looks like BAC wont stay there..
Im half in here @ 7.30 with a target of 7.47..


The Market seems to be heading down, thats why i dont open a full position on it.




S&P 500: Quick View

Lets take a Look at the SPX. I think it will break the 1`400 mark in the coming days.

We`re bullish right now, but im not a Buyer here in consideration that were trading a bit to high for buying cheap.. But i mean it generally, because we have some nice stocks which were traded down.


Im watching BAC, LULU, LVS, GOOG and several others right now.

AAPL 590` Call: BOOOM! (Opening Spike!)

AAPL is trading higher today... AAPL is known as the Master of Recovery!


I was outside of my house, so i couldn`t watch where was the point to sell, so i sold it on Volume Indicator.. 597.10 was my sellpoint and im very lucky with this price, because i didnt know, we are trading to high. Now i see the charts and i just have to show you, we`re trading now in this Zone, which i dont want to invest in it.


realized Profit: 15.51 per Share 51       +2.66%

                         4 AAPL Calls with a 590 Strike; average ~ +75%


There was a nice Spike at the AAPL Option 17 AUG 590` since Friday:

I sold it in two parts..                          + 88%
 + 68%

Samstag, 28. Juli 2012

GLD/GOLD: Be careful! ITS TURNING!!

Im only spectating the Gold right now. Since the Wall Street Journal reportet an article and several Politicians spoked about the EU, QE2/QE3, and more, the Goldprice has turned the direction. The Chartformation is NOT finished but i will go long on Gold, if i see the affirmation.

Montag, 23. Juli 2012

AAPL: Close this GAP!

Apple postet earnings below Analysts estimate. Now im watching for a full recover.

Apple is still a good company and i believe if the market continues upside, we will have some higher prices for AAPL.


I long @ 581.59. Primary target is at 588.00 and then 594. But im watching for the behaviour in this stock between 589.50 and 594.00. Im also waiting for possible downgrades... If this happen, i stop this trade as best as possible.



Donnerstag, 19. Juli 2012

GLD is trying to hold the price

The concern about Gold is very low and thats why we dont have stronger moves. GLD is trading on very low volume and thats boring.

Lets take another look at GLD. I distinguish two areas in the next 2 days. The red one is the open short term area which is to high for the general trend and the area other is in a simple downtrend.

I think we`ll get into the lower area.

Mittwoch, 18. Juli 2012

GLD: Position doubled! (short!)

I think this is an easy trade.. Thats why i double this position.


Second Short Sale  @ 152.93/ ETF

Lets bring it down..

GLD: The golden bear

Now we have this signal, i was searching for.

Im short until this downtrend is finished..





Dienstag, 17. Juli 2012

GLD: SHORT!!

Lets take a look to the markets.. im watching it hour by hour and there are no Bulls here! (Just upside fakeswings)

Also the commodities are bearish in consideration the European Union crisis..

What a lot of people doesn`t know is the strong correlation between the EU and commodities (like gold, silver or some other commodities). If there`s not soon a solution for this crisis, the worth of these securities will come more down... just fact!


Well lets take a look to the GLD ETF. Its not the same as Gold, but in average theyre even.



I went short @ 153.70.. The current price is 153.50 and i think we're going lower with this ETF.

I bought additionally a put with the strike of 150 USD (17. Aug)

Option execute price @ 1.46
actual Optionprice: 1.54




GOOG: Target to 556.40

It looks like we have some strong signals for selling GOOG lower. My moving area is a bit bearish and that means i have to stay short on GOOG!


My next primary target is 556.40

So, lets do this deal!

My Entry Price is still 586.04 USD/Share                    
                                    current Performance:+ 5.1%                     

   


BIDU Trade accomplished!

My Goal is reached! I closed the position on the almost lowest point. That dealclose was a bit a plodding game but i closed it after 38min short selling by others.

Im finished here with Baidu.com. My performance isnt bad and i have to say Baidu.com is a good company. It was just a technical consolidation. Im optimistic about the Q2 Earnings Release. Maybe we will see some higher prices. But i dont trade it.. its to risky for me!

Performance: +11.78 USD/Share | + 10.49%



Donnerstag, 12. Juli 2012

BIDU: Outlook!

Lets take a look at Baidu`s share.

BIDU has crossed some significant retracements  and its moving into a downtrend-channel. (The blanket of the white channel has been touched 3 times touched and the support at 107.53 is broken. I think we will see the lower buy-level of approximately 105.xx USD.

The only thing to regard which is very important is the earnings release of Baidu.com on July 23.
That means i need to close the position at the latest on Thursday or i could get burned with my short-sale.

Why Thursday? Its really simple.. The release is on monday and friday could be a buy-day, respectively a short-squeeze day.





Dienstag, 10. Juli 2012

BAC`s double top

After Bank of Americas stock has closed the double top formation, it has crossed the red retracement.

Im waiting for a stronger signal to sell these stock short.


primary target:   7.33 / Share


BIDU: target reached!

My target is reached  109.00 (108.92 as low) !


Lets take a look:

I believe there`s more range downside. We got the white downtrend, the yellow average support (since 25.06.12) and a low at 107.48 (red line). For accomplishing this wave, there is a chance of approximately 70-80%  for a full close to the lowest point (the market gives the direction).

gross profit:            + 3.17%






BIDU`s tricky way

BIDU is a tricky share but my short is performing now..

Lets take a look:

We have 2 channels. The first one is the green uptrend channel and the white one, a normal downtrend channel. I marked it white in consideration, that it is not distinctive.

My thoughts are, that we`re going down with BIDU.. My target is fixed.. lets perform in this consolidation market!!



PCX Deal closed!!

Well, i covered this risky position at midnight in Switzerland for 0.37 USD/Share


Profit: 0.448 per share (0.443/shr)      +54%

Montag, 9. Juli 2012

GOOG`s empty area

GOOG looks like it falls back from 586 to 557 USD.

lets take a look:


BIDU`s direction

BIDU  is very tricky to trade.. The best way here is to wait for the consolidation.


The current performance with this BIDU deal is -0.9%

AAPL position closing

Lets close the position @ 613.97 (after-hours)

My profit. 32.92/share      +5.67%

Patriot Coal to seek bankruptcy

Patriot Coal a company with over 4000 employees and a market capital of 40 mln dollars, is filling for insolvency.

PCX crashed almost 70% and is sliding more down in the after-hours.


The decreasing range should be in the 74-86%..
Im short @ 0.818 and my plan is to close the position at 0.55.. lets see im in!




Donnerstag, 5. Juli 2012

NKE gap close signal

Now we got our positive gap close signal. Im heading to 95.87 with a bigger position. Lets take`em up!

05.07.2012 - R.Stocker

Dienstag, 3. Juli 2012

NKE - Shorters darling!

The quarterly report by Nike tumbled their shares downward. Its always the same game; the earnings are good, but Fund Managers are pressing the NKE shares down after market close on earnings release. So they can buy back these shares at lower levels.

Lets take a look on NKE:

Shorters loves this share for small bear raids, but fact is, NKE is a Recovery Master

My plan:

Entry Point: 90.28
             Position close @ 95.85
Zurich, 03.07.12 - R.Stocker

Montag, 2. Juli 2012

BIDU`s conso to 109.77

It looks like BIDU is taking a lower way to my next target (120.00)

Im short with a goal @ 109.77

Zürich, 02.07.2012 - R.Stocker

half closed deal

The Question now, is if AAPL will fall into the short-term consolidation area. Apple`s stock went to high for this short moment. That looks like an open gap... (means a gap close downside)
Im out by half here..

Zürich, 02.07.2012 - R.Stocker


Sonntag, 1. Juli 2012

Apple - There`s no limit!

As you see, the stock market was consolidating the last two months. This is normal and shows us how healthy our exchange is! More consolidation = higher limit and more opportunities (lower entry points for investments, and swing trades on the bull and bear side).

My thoughts about AAPL were a bit confusing. A lot of people invest in it and it seems, that this stock can become a bubble. My biggest anguish in relation with Apples Stock is that the Hedge Fund Managers can pull it down, every possible second.

I heard from different sides that the stock is highly overrated, but the fact is, Apple is making money and the quarterly reports gives us the confirmation for new price targets.

I personally see the 700 USD-mark coming until end of the year.

MY DEAL: Entry price @ 580.98 - Target is settled @ 600.47
                    1. sellpoint @ 590.01 (589.78 if it heads directly down)

The price of 600 is easily given, if we look here on this bullish healthy chart:

Zurich, 01.07.2012 - R.Stocker



blog opening

Hello everybody!

Welcome to my recently opened blog-website! I share my trading ideas and investment thoughts.
Always make your own opinion and never trade something without enough know-how. (liability excluded)

For questions please send me an e-mail to r.stocker.a[at]gmail.com