Dienstag, 20. November 2012

AAPL

AAPL looks interesting after a rebound by almost 8%. Well i took an eye on it and i just have to say that there`s some attention needed!

AAPL may rebound but I think until its not out of this inverted Fibo Fan it wont rebound.. Tomorrow we will see more about this..


Sonntag, 18. November 2012

GLD


It looks very weak and I still dont see any kind of a bullish sign.  But if we take a look at the comparison with the SPY and DJIA we see the GLD ETF is outperforming. I personally think it will come down and it will continue perform same as the equity markets.





Samstag, 3. November 2012

GLD: Hungry bear

As the equity exchange doesn`t perform upside-way some commodities also perform similar or worse. Well, as i there aren`t any positive indicators i`ll show you what my next target is. My next target in Gold is 1.7% lower and i bet really hard it will reach that target.

 Red line is next retracement which would give a sign for lower sideway consolidation (yellow)

SPY: Target accomplished!

Now we`re more bearish than before...

Freitag, 2. November 2012

SPY: Daily short

At the moment im doing just some intraday trades.


My most important position at them moment is a shortposi on SPY.


the blue uptrendline which isn`t all to strong will be my next stop.


Lets ride it out!


Mittwoch, 31. Oktober 2012

GLD/Gold and other similar commodities

As mostly of us know a lot of commodities like Gold or Silver are following the US Equity Markets. Fundamentally it shouldn`t follow them, but thats another topic. Gold and Silver are performing today but if we take a look to the 15 minutes chart we see there are a lot resistances in the upcoming "trend". So, same as the Equity Markets i also dont see strong positive indicators. But there are a few more visible.. That would be perfect for scalping but for long-term investment we should wait a bit more and let it ride out.

By the way; check the comparisons between DJIA, SPX and XGLD to GLD


SPY

Market heads more down. As i see there are a lot of people already bullish. But i dont see any important bullish indicator for the Equity Markets. After leaving a downtrend we`re again in this downtrend how i expected it.

The moment when it turns should show a stronger indicator.


Freitag, 26. Oktober 2012

SPY some new lows

I`ve set 1400 as an important mark in the SPX. Now we`re almost there and i think we will hit this mark, for sure!

Well im today also bearish on the markets and thats why im short. I use just a simple inverted Fibo Fan and some trendlines. Additionally some comparisons and other small indicators. And of course.. the market behavioral rules. The market wont be able to turn until Wednesday (Politics), if we dont get a flashy low..

What means a flashy low for me. I want to see a hammer and a trendturn-indicator.. If i dont get it i may go again short on monday.. But i dont stay short over the weekend..to risky!

My target for today is a bit lower than 140.00


Dienstag, 23. Oktober 2012

SPX

Lets take a look on the S&P 500 Index

The indicator for lower levels is strong. We will revisit 1`400  for sure!

Have a nice day and let it play out, if youre bullish!


SPY

Closed that deal in this area last time.. just btw!


Mittwoch, 17. Oktober 2012

SPY

I closed my shortposition last friday with a nice profit. This turnover looks higher..
My next target is 156.55..

pre-market is doing well for the moment and maybe we will have a small rally this week. 


Freitag, 12. Oktober 2012

SPY

Following a simple trendline since yesterday.. Btw, the market is just aa biit oversold.. Thats why i close ALL my short positions today!

Donnerstag, 11. Oktober 2012

GLD/GOLD

Gold has been pressed down with some global fears or a stronger dollar. But as we know, the value of the dollar should decrease.. In that consideration, there`s also one profiteur from this weak currency - Gold!

For now, i have one trendline which i bet on.. I trade on this line and this green trendline seems to be one stronger than others.. Gold has been oversold, so i think its the best opportunity to buy Gold or GLD in this moment.

I have to laugh, when i hear that Gold will fall and i always try to explict that there is nothing to get scared about Gold.. Its just a movement by the market makers like JP, MS or another Fund Manager.

So i dont get scared and i stay long on Gold.. The red area means a oversold area for me..

Btw, Gold has been outperforming the US-Indexes yesterday.. The reason for that were some actions by SPDR


Donnerstag, 4. Oktober 2012

GLD

Finally.. after hanging in this sidewaytrend it has reached the breakout level. And here we are.. Gold breaks out for another round¨!

Montag, 1. Oktober 2012

GOLD (GLD)

Gold looks very bullish at the moment and i wont sell it for the next days. I was flat last week on Gold and sometimes with a loss of  3850 USD. I knew its always a bit tricky to trade Gold, because some Fund Managers are pulling the GLD down sometimes, to add it at lower prices.

Ok lets take another look. At the first sight it doesnt look special and there`s no much performance into it. But just compare the highs from days before and you`ll see there are higher highs and we had the second buy-up spike which indicates a strong bullish engulfing!

I expect we`re going to hit the next important retracement and then we will receive our strongest bullish sign on Commodities which moves similar to Gold.

As you see, we`re moving along a trendline (yellow ones) and every Fibo Retracement gets tested out.

By the way, Commodities should be the best profiteurs from the QE 3 program.. 



Montag, 24. September 2012

GOOG - Deal accomplished

GOOG has reached my target and i received my 3. Twin Soldier.


Profit: 30.2 USD per Share

Im done here and wait for the consolidation after hitting the new all-time high!


 






Mittwoch, 19. September 2012

GOOG

GOOG`s closing was really good, compared to the Indexes.

I expect a three twin soldiers formation. 750 USD is my target on GOOG.





GOOG

How i expected it, GOOG will spike upside.. The Bulls are here and we`re on the way to crush the ALL-TIME HIGH!

It looks like it  breaks upside in this Fibonacci Fan.


Dienstag, 18. September 2012

GOLD and GOOG - THE SKY IS THE LIMIT!!

Today i closed my postion with a nice gain against the SPY.



I see the bears going to be defensive so i opened the next position and of course as a Bull!

Well the first one is GLD or Gold.. It looks very bullish and it seems to rise higher.

Entry for GLD is a ETF position and some 175 Oct. Strike Calls @ 2.07 according to the ETF.

The GLD ETF is  bought @ 171.50

The next one is GOOG. I think there`s not a lot to say. The Fibo Fan looks normal and it could outperform.

 Price: 21.15 for the 720 Oct Call and additionally i took some shares of them.


THE SKY is the Limit, and its limitless!








Montag, 17. September 2012

Daily Short

Today i used to open a small short position. In consideration to the spike from the last 2 trading days i thought its time to go full on technicals and trade the Index down.

I opened a SPY put Oct 19, 146.00 position with an average price of 2.32.

Lets ride this short consolidation. The position isn`t big because im against the general trend and against my general Marketopinion. Lets see what im getting in this flat market today..






Sonntag, 16. September 2012

Quick Overview

Almost 2 months ago i`ve changed my opinion on Gold, Silver and other Commodities. Gold is doing a nice turn and the trend on Gold and Silver will continue. Crude Oil looks also very bullish and i see a new 4-year high by the end of 2012 until the beginning of 2013.


Lets take a look at the US equity markets:

I asked my self how long Ben Bernanke will stay mulish because there`s no other way for the system. He had to enable the Quantitave Easing 3 (QE) and he did!

So, the Decision is made and there`s just one way for the Markets. We should see the Dow Jones at 14`000 points by end of the year. The NASDAQ should outperform the DJIA and S&P 500.

The S&P 500 should perform similar to the DJIA. (S&P 500 @ 1509.00)


I think Ben enabled his QE3 Package under pressure by Draghis Decision to buy these junk bonds. Draghi made the right decision for the moment, but the wrong one for the future. The next Crisis will be affected by this decision. For sure!



My Advice is now, buy Shares, ETFs and Commodities as i`ve listen above. The Opportunity for making profit couldn`t be bigger than now.

I will start adding more GLD ETFs at an lower level.

Lets take a look at the GLD 30 Min Chart:


The 61.8 Fibo Retracement is a small support, but i think if this ETF doesnt fall under this line back to the lower Speed-Trendline, it will stay a bit sideways.. For the Moment it is too high, but its not wrong to buy..




 

 

Donnerstag, 2. August 2012

SPY...

Its really simple and i see it on first sight..


Lets ride these waves by selling the SPY!

Maybe we will have a quick reversal upside, but thats not dramatic.


Short @ 136.21



FB: Lets close the Positions before the Short Squeeze starts!


Mittwoch, 1. August 2012

GLD: Back to the Roots!

GLD is trading lower after this quick spike upside!

As i said, Gold has to close its formation, to turn the direction (if it will turn).


Im short here until approximately 154.00





FB: Change the Puts and stay SHORT!

I closed the 22 AUG Put Positions with about 1.4 k plus. Now im holding 21 AUG Put Options with my target @ 20.62. 

If we compare FB and the NASAQ, we see FB is underperfoming completetly
I bet FB will be a Teenager until Friday!!





SBUX breaks downside!

I wanted to close this position on trendlinebreak downside, but i didnt. The position was closed at 46.10.

Maybe i will short it, but i think this stock is getting undervalued.

Loss: 81 Cents per Share        -1.8%



Dienstag, 31. Juli 2012

FB: Soon a Teenager!

I opened the shortposition just some minutes ago @ 22.30

I bought only the Put Options with In the Money Put with a 22.00 Strike (17 AUG)

Its a nice wedge down!

Entry Price is 1.05




Montag, 30. Juli 2012

SBUX: looks bullish

Starbucks stock was trading higher in the end of last Friday (27.07)

It seems to be a bullish indicator for a full recovery..

Lets take these Shares and some Calls!


BAC: Lets lift the price from 7.30 to 7.47


My Pivot at 7.287 is BAC`s new retracement and it looks like BAC wont stay there..
Im half in here @ 7.30 with a target of 7.47..


The Market seems to be heading down, thats why i dont open a full position on it.




S&P 500: Quick View

Lets take a Look at the SPX. I think it will break the 1`400 mark in the coming days.

We`re bullish right now, but im not a Buyer here in consideration that were trading a bit to high for buying cheap.. But i mean it generally, because we have some nice stocks which were traded down.


Im watching BAC, LULU, LVS, GOOG and several others right now.

AAPL 590` Call: BOOOM! (Opening Spike!)

AAPL is trading higher today... AAPL is known as the Master of Recovery!


I was outside of my house, so i couldn`t watch where was the point to sell, so i sold it on Volume Indicator.. 597.10 was my sellpoint and im very lucky with this price, because i didnt know, we are trading to high. Now i see the charts and i just have to show you, we`re trading now in this Zone, which i dont want to invest in it.


realized Profit: 15.51 per Share 51       +2.66%

                         4 AAPL Calls with a 590 Strike; average ~ +75%


There was a nice Spike at the AAPL Option 17 AUG 590` since Friday:

I sold it in two parts..                          + 88%
 + 68%

Samstag, 28. Juli 2012

GLD/GOLD: Be careful! ITS TURNING!!

Im only spectating the Gold right now. Since the Wall Street Journal reportet an article and several Politicians spoked about the EU, QE2/QE3, and more, the Goldprice has turned the direction. The Chartformation is NOT finished but i will go long on Gold, if i see the affirmation.

Montag, 23. Juli 2012

AAPL: Close this GAP!

Apple postet earnings below Analysts estimate. Now im watching for a full recover.

Apple is still a good company and i believe if the market continues upside, we will have some higher prices for AAPL.


I long @ 581.59. Primary target is at 588.00 and then 594. But im watching for the behaviour in this stock between 589.50 and 594.00. Im also waiting for possible downgrades... If this happen, i stop this trade as best as possible.



Donnerstag, 19. Juli 2012

GLD is trying to hold the price

The concern about Gold is very low and thats why we dont have stronger moves. GLD is trading on very low volume and thats boring.

Lets take another look at GLD. I distinguish two areas in the next 2 days. The red one is the open short term area which is to high for the general trend and the area other is in a simple downtrend.

I think we`ll get into the lower area.

Mittwoch, 18. Juli 2012

GLD: Position doubled! (short!)

I think this is an easy trade.. Thats why i double this position.


Second Short Sale  @ 152.93/ ETF

Lets bring it down..

GLD: The golden bear

Now we have this signal, i was searching for.

Im short until this downtrend is finished..





Dienstag, 17. Juli 2012

GLD: SHORT!!

Lets take a look to the markets.. im watching it hour by hour and there are no Bulls here! (Just upside fakeswings)

Also the commodities are bearish in consideration the European Union crisis..

What a lot of people doesn`t know is the strong correlation between the EU and commodities (like gold, silver or some other commodities). If there`s not soon a solution for this crisis, the worth of these securities will come more down... just fact!


Well lets take a look to the GLD ETF. Its not the same as Gold, but in average theyre even.



I went short @ 153.70.. The current price is 153.50 and i think we're going lower with this ETF.

I bought additionally a put with the strike of 150 USD (17. Aug)

Option execute price @ 1.46
actual Optionprice: 1.54




GOOG: Target to 556.40

It looks like we have some strong signals for selling GOOG lower. My moving area is a bit bearish and that means i have to stay short on GOOG!


My next primary target is 556.40

So, lets do this deal!

My Entry Price is still 586.04 USD/Share                    
                                    current Performance:+ 5.1%                     

   


BIDU Trade accomplished!

My Goal is reached! I closed the position on the almost lowest point. That dealclose was a bit a plodding game but i closed it after 38min short selling by others.

Im finished here with Baidu.com. My performance isnt bad and i have to say Baidu.com is a good company. It was just a technical consolidation. Im optimistic about the Q2 Earnings Release. Maybe we will see some higher prices. But i dont trade it.. its to risky for me!

Performance: +11.78 USD/Share | + 10.49%



Donnerstag, 12. Juli 2012

BIDU: Outlook!

Lets take a look at Baidu`s share.

BIDU has crossed some significant retracements  and its moving into a downtrend-channel. (The blanket of the white channel has been touched 3 times touched and the support at 107.53 is broken. I think we will see the lower buy-level of approximately 105.xx USD.

The only thing to regard which is very important is the earnings release of Baidu.com on July 23.
That means i need to close the position at the latest on Thursday or i could get burned with my short-sale.

Why Thursday? Its really simple.. The release is on monday and friday could be a buy-day, respectively a short-squeeze day.





Dienstag, 10. Juli 2012

BAC`s double top

After Bank of Americas stock has closed the double top formation, it has crossed the red retracement.

Im waiting for a stronger signal to sell these stock short.


primary target:   7.33 / Share


BIDU: target reached!

My target is reached  109.00 (108.92 as low) !


Lets take a look:

I believe there`s more range downside. We got the white downtrend, the yellow average support (since 25.06.12) and a low at 107.48 (red line). For accomplishing this wave, there is a chance of approximately 70-80%  for a full close to the lowest point (the market gives the direction).

gross profit:            + 3.17%






BIDU`s tricky way

BIDU is a tricky share but my short is performing now..

Lets take a look:

We have 2 channels. The first one is the green uptrend channel and the white one, a normal downtrend channel. I marked it white in consideration, that it is not distinctive.

My thoughts are, that we`re going down with BIDU.. My target is fixed.. lets perform in this consolidation market!!



PCX Deal closed!!

Well, i covered this risky position at midnight in Switzerland for 0.37 USD/Share


Profit: 0.448 per share (0.443/shr)      +54%

Montag, 9. Juli 2012

GOOG`s empty area

GOOG looks like it falls back from 586 to 557 USD.

lets take a look:


BIDU`s direction

BIDU  is very tricky to trade.. The best way here is to wait for the consolidation.


The current performance with this BIDU deal is -0.9%

AAPL position closing

Lets close the position @ 613.97 (after-hours)

My profit. 32.92/share      +5.67%

Patriot Coal to seek bankruptcy

Patriot Coal a company with over 4000 employees and a market capital of 40 mln dollars, is filling for insolvency.

PCX crashed almost 70% and is sliding more down in the after-hours.


The decreasing range should be in the 74-86%..
Im short @ 0.818 and my plan is to close the position at 0.55.. lets see im in!




Donnerstag, 5. Juli 2012

NKE gap close signal

Now we got our positive gap close signal. Im heading to 95.87 with a bigger position. Lets take`em up!

05.07.2012 - R.Stocker

Dienstag, 3. Juli 2012

NKE - Shorters darling!

The quarterly report by Nike tumbled their shares downward. Its always the same game; the earnings are good, but Fund Managers are pressing the NKE shares down after market close on earnings release. So they can buy back these shares at lower levels.

Lets take a look on NKE:

Shorters loves this share for small bear raids, but fact is, NKE is a Recovery Master

My plan:

Entry Point: 90.28
             Position close @ 95.85
Zurich, 03.07.12 - R.Stocker

Montag, 2. Juli 2012

BIDU`s conso to 109.77

It looks like BIDU is taking a lower way to my next target (120.00)

Im short with a goal @ 109.77

Zürich, 02.07.2012 - R.Stocker

half closed deal

The Question now, is if AAPL will fall into the short-term consolidation area. Apple`s stock went to high for this short moment. That looks like an open gap... (means a gap close downside)
Im out by half here..

Zürich, 02.07.2012 - R.Stocker


Sonntag, 1. Juli 2012

Apple - There`s no limit!

As you see, the stock market was consolidating the last two months. This is normal and shows us how healthy our exchange is! More consolidation = higher limit and more opportunities (lower entry points for investments, and swing trades on the bull and bear side).

My thoughts about AAPL were a bit confusing. A lot of people invest in it and it seems, that this stock can become a bubble. My biggest anguish in relation with Apples Stock is that the Hedge Fund Managers can pull it down, every possible second.

I heard from different sides that the stock is highly overrated, but the fact is, Apple is making money and the quarterly reports gives us the confirmation for new price targets.

I personally see the 700 USD-mark coming until end of the year.

MY DEAL: Entry price @ 580.98 - Target is settled @ 600.47
                    1. sellpoint @ 590.01 (589.78 if it heads directly down)

The price of 600 is easily given, if we look here on this bullish healthy chart:

Zurich, 01.07.2012 - R.Stocker